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Joined 28 days ago
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Cake day: August 6th, 2026

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  • THIS is a ‘real problem‘? A fraction of women who are hating trans? How’s this different from those women who are punching down on trans

    Sorry wait… your question is about two actions

    A) punching down on trans people

    B) calling out other oppressed people who punch down on trans people

    … and your question is about how these two actions are different?



  • 5318008@lemmy.mltoComic Strips@lemmy.worldhmm
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    3 days ago

    There’s a difference between A) ignoring the opinions of a particular fascist and B) ignoring a year-over-year increase in the population of people openly expressing fascist opinions.

    It’s kind of like a tumor. As inconvenient as it might be, if it’s not hurting you worse than the surgery to remove it, then you should ignore it. If it starts growing, however… you probably shouldn’t ignore that.














  • OK, let’s see the evidence for that assertion.

    Using prediction markets to estimate the reproducibility of scientific research - PMC

    There’s one.

    But obviously it’s not a guarantee if you don’t know what you’re doing. We also have documentation on where these methods fall short, such as when it’s based on exponential growth, rare events, or something else that humans are bad at understanding. Infectious Disease Forecasting.

    But again, good statisticians are prepared to address those things.

    And you have no idea of the mechanisms that shape that market.

    That’s even better. If I don’t understand the mechanisms shaping the market, I won’t be able to correctly identify predictive variables for my model. In that case, I would be better off trusting the prediction market.

    Obviously it would be better if the person building the model understood the mechanisms… but that takes time and money. If you’re managing 30 models, that might not be worth it.